Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 7.837665 9.090896 10.440621 11.997652 13.739412 15.622901 17.808664
2025-12-21 6.061762 7.721446 9.642805 12.013273 14.839762 18.082106 22.061529
2025-12-28 5.143884 7.036431 9.349178 12.345835 16.084925 20.553681 26.251213
2026-01-04 4.450314 6.475496 9.067525 12.566766 17.098844 22.697591 30.055130
2026-01-11 3.853553 5.936341 8.717118 12.611891 17.824868 24.452625 33.391435
2026-01-18 3.243417 5.287904 8.133238 12.262674 17.965391 25.414172 35.705194
2026-01-25 2.768854 4.765542 7.655535 11.990779 18.151889 26.398482 38.040207
2026-02-01 2.363762 4.291524 7.190555 11.679634 18.235056 27.212531 40.142175
2026-02-08 2.029397 3.882888 6.775764 11.393538 18.312257 27.992132 42.194246
2026-02-15 1.729914 3.490799 6.343585 11.036343 18.245998 28.543748 43.923330
2026-02-22 1.562118 3.300842 6.209219 11.116595 18.815756 30.002730 46.956260
2026-03-01 1.407135 3.113177 6.058430 11.152853 19.309045 31.356239 49.869029
2026-03-08 1.280791 2.964933 5.963390 11.275461 19.946303 32.954484 53.207468
2026-03-15 1.151505 2.793958 5.812334 11.291311 20.410467 34.305409 56.221966
2026-03-22 1.080293 2.728939 5.841324 11.607517 21.361575 36.416009 60.416418
2026-03-29 1.001401 2.637371 5.812282 11.817611 22.143488 38.286666 64.298042
2026-04-05 0.909518 2.505262 5.694563 11.860527 22.645256 39.732467 67.569335
2026-04-12 0.785234 2.282524 5.381436 11.528445 22.495682 40.142008 69.254833
2026-04-19 0.683898 2.096281 5.120679 11.269951 22.450861 40.705229 71.180725
2026-04-26 0.591327 1.915453 4.851921 10.974209 22.320150 41.115789 72.867068
2026-05-03 0.512089 1.754049 4.606361 10.702341 22.211813 41.549756 74.590842
2026-05-10 0.437368 1.590270 4.337662 10.363001 21.959864 41.728963 75.900632
2026-05-17 0.400699 1.524944 4.279826 10.439233 22.464062 43.182371 79.300108